Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.296919 0.346145 0.401167 0.467263 0.544565 0.632190 0.739162
2025-01-12 0.215776 0.279148 0.357813 0.462821 0.599644 0.772323 1.007540
2025-01-19 0.175485 0.243698 0.334648 0.465162 0.648345 0.897353 1.263376
2025-01-26 0.155068 0.228187 0.331555 0.488971 0.723875 1.063400 1.595034
2025-02-02 0.139392 0.215636 0.329013 0.510803 0.796921 1.233187 1.955121
2025-02-09 0.125331 0.202696 0.323038 0.525078 0.858587 1.392089 2.319923
2025-02-16 0.112020 0.188607 0.312699 0.529925 0.904399 1.530212 2.669219
2025-02-23 0.099576 0.173958 0.299077 0.526690 0.935081 1.645710 2.994721
2025-03-02 0.087181 0.157576 0.280153 0.511215 0.941445 1.718673 3.253057
2025-03-09 0.081217 0.151686 0.278547 0.526041 1.003680 1.898468 3.733419
2025-03-16 0.074238 0.142966 0.270609 0.527779 1.041078 2.036079 4.151024
2025-03-23 0.069059 0.136947 0.266849 0.536782 1.093256 2.207983 4.660736
2025-03-30 0.062012 0.126554 0.253716 0.526094 1.105740 2.305059 5.035469
2025-04-06 0.056346 0.118259 0.243779 0.520743 1.128805 2.427521 5.485093
2025-04-13 0.052127 0.112411 0.238055 0.523394 1.169083 2.591417 6.051250
2025-04-20 0.050466 0.111800 0.243194 0.550264 1.266401 2.893289 6.982145
2025-04-27 0.048699 0.110717 0.247141 0.574907 1.361903 3.203872 7.982245
2025-05-04 0.046396 0.108128 0.247408 0.591021 1.439462 3.482955 8.948223
2025-05-11 0.043543 0.103905 0.243432 0.596494 1.491918 3.708630 9.813343
2025-05-18 0.040366 0.098528 0.236118 0.592841 1.521094 3.880523 10.563971
2025-05-25 0.036672 0.091451 0.223916 0.575372 1.512530 3.955189 11.062818
2025-06-01 0.035252 0.089875 0.224987 0.592109 1.596071 4.281763 12.317231
2025-06-08 0.033151 0.086308 0.220656 0.594070 1.640090 4.508493 13.321873